Identificação de oportunidades comerciais para o agronegócio brasileiro no mercado externo

Abstract

Agribusiness is one of the main export sectors in Brazil, presenting a growth dynamic that depends fundamentally on external demand, which motivates to know the sector's commercial opportunities on the world stage. In this sense, the main objective of this research is to indicate the products that are characterized by low commercial use compared to what could occur. In addition, it seeks to measure the values of possible increases in exports for each region of destination and sectorial aggregate. The analysis was made based on the Commercial Complementarity Index and on the virtual export volumes, using data from the period between the years 2007 and 2018. For the identification of agribusiness products, a classification was performed that used as parameters the grouping provided by the Ministry Agriculture, Livestock and Supply (MAPA) and the six-digit codes of the Harmonized System (HS6). The results point to the occurrence of several underutilized sectors and significant potential increases destined for different regions, which suggests the need for sectorial policies to encourage exports and search for trade agreements.