Relação entre consumo de energia elétrica e crescimento econômico no nordeste brasileiro

Abstract

This research study develops an analysis of the relation between electricity consumption and economic growth, reviewing existing theories and applying forecasts to a study case of the Northeast of Brazil in the period 1997 to 2012. It used a theoretical approach based in research results conducted in various countries as shown in chapter 2 of this dissertation. It followed an analytical method based on unit roots, co-integration of Johansen and Engle-Granger, applied to time series of data collected in the Official Brazilian statistics. Results showed that there is a unitary relation between electricity consumption and economic Growth, confirming empirical results also obtained in other countries through the application of the tests referred to above. It has also been observed that time series of data used are not stationary as foreseen in the literature and in studies carried out for the Brazilian economy. Results for the Johansen test showed that there is no co-integration between electricity consumption and economic growth as also shown in other research works in the literature. Conclusions of this research can be of interest to the development of academic works that can be done in the future in the academic centers mainly through dissertation and theses.