O crescimento econômico de Pernambuco na primeira década do século XXI

Abstract

This dissertation aimed to compare the growth rates of the Development Regions of the state of Pernambuco between years 2000 and 2010 and analize sources of growth of the internal product (GDP), namely the contributions of capital, labour and human capital to this econom-ic growth. For this end, it was used the theoretical models of Solow, Mankiw, Romer and Weil in an empirical version worked out by the author. The estimation of this model , through a least square econometric method for the 185 Pernambuco municipalities, led to the results analyzed in this work. The choice for the adequate data to be used for estimation of the sources of growth was made on the basis of the Firme & Simão (2011) methodology, in spe-cial for the treatment of human capital. The decision was to take the illiterate rate as repre-sentative of this variable as the results were the most appropriate. Results were finally appro-priate for the state of Pernambuco and its main development regions. This work has brought a good contribution to the estimation of economic growth in the state of Pernambuco and to the application of the theoretical model redeveloped by Mankiw, Romer and Weil (MRW) on the basis of the Solow model. It is expected also that the method applied can be used in further works by the author and counterparts.