Cenários de mudanças climáticas no planejamento urbano: aplicação da análise exploratória de dados espaciais para a cidade de Recife-PE

Abstract

Effective urban planning to make cities more inclusive, resilient, and sustainable is a crucial mechanism for mitigating climate change in urban infrastructures, particularly in G20 countries. Reports from international organizations, such as the UN and the World Bank, explore the role of intermediary cities in promoting adaptive capacity and local climate resilience. In light of urban planning, the vulnerabilities of urban infrastructure and the socioeconomic development challenges faced in the city of Recife have relevant local approaches to contrast adaptations for intermediary and smaller cities in similar contexts. In this context, this work will utilize the concepts of environmental and social vulnerability indices as predictive tools through georeferencing, and spatial verification through Exploratory Spatial Data Analysis (ESDA) to determine if there is a specific pattern of data organization for census tracts in Recife. The results demonstrate patterns of high and low vulnerability, providing insights for targeted urban planning and policy formulation to increase adaptive capacity and mitigate climate risks in the city.